Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
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