SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Everton had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Everton |
64.34% ( -0.16) | 18.59% ( -0) | 17.06% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 61.63% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.87% ( 0.34) | 32.13% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.28% ( 0.39) | 53.71% ( -0.38) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.51% ( 0.06) | 9.49% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.16% ( 0.13) | 31.83% ( -0.12) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% ( 0.39) | 31.91% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.65% ( 0.45) | 68.35% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Everton |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.53% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.34% | 1-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.59% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.12% Total : 17.06% |
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