SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Fulham |
33.24% ( -0.11) | 25.07% ( -0.04) | 41.7% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% ( 0.13) | 46.53% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( 0.12) | 68.81% ( -0.12) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( -0.01) | 26.85% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.85% ( -0.01) | 62.15% ( 0.01) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( 0.13) | 22.26% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.29% ( 0.19) | 55.7% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.24% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.7% |
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