SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 10.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
73.58% ( -0.5) | 15.9% ( 0.25) | 10.51% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.03% ( -0.53) | 34.96% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.05% ( -0.59) | 56.95% ( 0.59) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.84% ( -0.23) | 8.16% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.39% ( -0.58) | 28.61% ( 0.58) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.97% ( 0.08) | 43.03% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.68% ( 0.07) | 79.31% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 73.57% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.9% | 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.52% |
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