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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
NF

Luton
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Berry (89')
Kabore (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wood (34')
Toffolo (84'), Sels (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 4-3 Luton
Wednesday, March 13 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawNottingham Forest
42.29% (0.177 0.18) 23.83% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 33.88% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 61.5% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)40.58% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)62.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (0.073999999999998 0.07)19.47% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.67% (0.122 0.12)51.33% (-0.12 -0.12)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)23.64% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)57.73% (0.145 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.29%
    Nottingham Forest 33.88%
    Draw 23.83%
Luton TownDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 42.29%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bournemouth 4-3 Luton
Wednesday, March 13 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Luton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 2-3 Aston Villa
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 2-6 Man City
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Luton
Wednesday, February 21 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-1 Liverpool
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-1 Man Utd
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 West Ham
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Newcastle
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in Premier League


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