SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
46.83% ( -0.53) | 23.38% ( 0.14) | 29.79% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 61.17% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.82% ( -0.45) | 40.18% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.45% ( -0.46) | 62.55% ( 0.46) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( -0.37) | 17.44% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.09% ( -0.66) | 47.9% ( 0.66) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0.03) | 25.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% ( 0.04) | 60.89% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.95% Total : 46.83% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.79% |
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