Although Northampton are in a higher division, it is difficult to see how they manage to keep a clean sheet against Notts County given their poor defensive record of late.
The visitors have also struggled to create chances this season, and it would not be surprising if they failed to score on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
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