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League Two | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
NC

Carlisle
0 - 2
Notts County


Vela (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jatta (10'), Robertson (34')
Platt (16'), Abbott (62'), Bedeau (82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawNotts County
32.63% (0.089999999999996 0.09) 23.77% (0.084 0.08) 43.59% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 61.25% (-0.276 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.28% (-0.376 -0.38)40.71% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.9% (-0.385 -0.38)63.09% (0.381 0.38)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (-0.128 -0.13)24.41% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16% (-0.178 -0.18)58.83% (0.175 0.18)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)18.96% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.5% (-0.382 -0.38)50.49% (0.377 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 32.63%
    Notts County 43.59%
    Draw 23.77%
Carlisle UnitedDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.53% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.63%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 43.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Tranmere
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Notts County
Tuesday, September 24 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 2-4 Notts County
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Accrington
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two


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