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League Two | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
SC

Notts County
2 - 5
Stockport

Langstaff (61'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (32'), Langstaff (71')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Madden (26', 33' pen., 40'), Sarcevic (50'), Pye (84')
Briston (36'), Sarcevic (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 1-2 Stockport County

Back-to-back victories will have increased confidence significantly inside the Notts County camp, but the visit of the league leaders will seriously threaten the Magpies' winning run. Stockport are unlikely to take their foot off the gas despite already having promotion wrapped up, and we believe that the League Two title will be theirs on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawStockport County
27.55% (-0.399 -0.4) 21.76% (-0.139 -0.14) 50.69% (0.539 0.54)
Both teams to score 65.41% (0.175 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.11% (0.373 0.37)33.88% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.26% (0.421 0.42)55.73% (-0.42 -0.42)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.15% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)58.47% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (0.306 0.31)13.75% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.96% (0.605 0.61)41.04% (-0.604 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 27.55%
    Stockport County 50.69%
    Draw 21.76%
Notts CountyDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 4.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.55%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.14% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.36% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.071 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.16% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.14% (0.053 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.041 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 50.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-3 MK Dons
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 0-3 Notts County
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Stockport
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-3 Stockport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Stockport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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