Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Notts County had a probability of 13.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Notts County win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
