SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.01%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Walsall |
48.7% ( 0.25) | 21.26% ( -0.06) | 30.04% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 69.3% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.39% ( 0.15) | 29.61% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.28% ( 0.19) | 50.71% ( -0.2) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.15% ( 0.13) | 12.84% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.79% ( 0.27) | 39.2% ( -0.28) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( -0.03) | 20.48% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.04% ( -0.05) | 52.95% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Walsall |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 48.7% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.26% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.04% |
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