Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Notts County
19.41% ( -0.02)	20.61% ( -0.01)	59.97% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.8% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.12% (

0.04)

37.88% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.86% (

0.04)

60.13% (

-0.04)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.05% (

0.01)

32.95% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.47% (

0.01)

69.53% (

-0.01)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.69% (

0.02)

12.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.91% (

0.04)

38.09% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 19.41%

Notts County 59.98%

Draw 20.61%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.41%	1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.61%	1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 8.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.61% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.26% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 4% Total : 59.98%