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League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
WA

Notts County
0 - 2
Wrexham


Crowley (28'), Jones (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lee (73'), Palmer (76')
Jones (7'), Mullin (37'), McClean (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Sutton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 3-2 Wrexham

Last season's two meetings between Notts County and Wrexham were won by the home side on the day, and we believe that the Magpies will make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow victory over the Welsh side . Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
41.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.08% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 35.18% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 64.68% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.44% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)36.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)18.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (0.012 0.01)48.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 41.74%
    Wrexham 35.18%
    Draw 23.07%
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-4 Mansfield
Saturday, October 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Swindon
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Sutton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 3-2 Salford City
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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