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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Notts County |
30.58% ( 2.43) | 24.24% ( 0.5) | 45.18% ( -2.93) |
| Both teams to score 58.57% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% ( -0.88) | 43.81% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( -0.86) | 66.2% ( 0.86) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( 1.21) | 27.2% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% ( 1.55) | 62.61% ( -1.55) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -1.54) | 19.55% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.54% ( -2.58) | 51.46% ( 2.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.12)Other @ 3% Total : 30.58% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.44)1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.39)0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.44)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.27)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.27)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.18% |
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