SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Magdeburg |
32.19% ( -0.71) | 22.86% ( -0.21) | 44.95% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 64.44% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.55% ( 0.76) | 36.44% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.42% ( 0.82) | 58.58% ( -0.82) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( -0.03) | 22.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.75% ( -0.05) | 56.25% ( 0.05) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( 0.66) | 16.71% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.39% ( 1.16) | 46.61% ( -1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.19% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.36% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.08)Other @ 4.39% Total : 44.95% |
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