SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 53.06%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | St Pauli |
24.51% ( 0.01) | 22.43% ( -0) | 53.06% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.81% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.08% ( 0.02) | 39.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.72% ( 0.02) | 62.28% ( -0.02) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( 0.02) | 29.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.43% ( 0.02) | 65.57% ( -0.02) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% ( 0) | 15.1% ( -0.01) |
