SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | St Pauli |
38.71% ( -0.28) | 24.16% ( -0.01) | 37.13% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 60.87% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.36% ( 0.06) | 41.64% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.96% ( 0.06) | 64.04% ( -0.06) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( -0.11) | 21.58% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.33% ( -0.17) | 54.68% ( 0.17) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( 0.18) | 22.38% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( 0.26) | 55.88% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.71% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.13% |
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