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MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
Nov 24, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Orlando City Stadium
AU

Orlando City
1 - 0
Atlanta

Enrique (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Williams (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-3 Atlanta
Sunday, November 10 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Orlando City 2-0 Atlanta United

Eliminating Lionel Messi and friends is something those Five Stripe players will remember for the rest of their lives, but it will be hard to refocus after such an emotional triumph. Against Orlando, they are unlikely to find as many gaps in behind because the Lions are well-structured defensively, and we expect the overall balance of Pareja's side to lead them to the conference finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
63.19% (-0.968 -0.97) 19.57% (0.426 0.43) 17.24% (0.544 0.54)
Both teams to score 58.28% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (-1.037 -1.04)36.6% (1.039 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (-1.138 -1.14)58.75% (1.14 1.14)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95% (-0.548 -0.55)11.05% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.62% (-1.221 -1.22)35.38% (1.222 1.22)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)34.48% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)71.2% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 63.19%
    Atlanta United 17.24%
    Draw 19.57%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.24% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.237 0.24)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.79% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 63.19%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.248 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.57%
1-2 @ 4.76% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.06% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 17.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 Charlotte FC (4-1 pen.)
Saturday, November 9 at 11pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 Orlando City (3-1 pen.)
Friday, November 1 at 11.30pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 27 at 11.30pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Atlanta
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-3 Atlanta
Sunday, November 10 at 1am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Atlanta (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, October 23 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Atlanta
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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