Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | Atlanta United |
63.19% ( -0.97) | 19.57% ( 0.43) | 17.24% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 58.28% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.4% ( -1.04) | 36.6% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.25% ( -1.14) | 58.75% ( 1.14) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.95% ( -0.55) | 11.05% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.62% ( -1.22) | 35.38% ( 1.22) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.51% ( -0.02) | 34.48% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.8% ( -0.02) | 71.2% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.68% Total : 63.19% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.57% | 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.24% |
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