SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.86%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Orlando City |
52.86% ( 0.01) | 23.11% ( 0.06) | 24.03% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% ( -0.33) | 43.54% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.07% ( -0.32) | 65.93% ( 0.33) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( -0.11) | 16.47% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.83% ( -0.21) | 46.17% ( 0.21) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% ( -0.24) | 31.91% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.64% ( -0.27) | 68.36% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.86% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 24.03% |
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