SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | SJK |
31.93% ( -0.86) | 25.14% ( 0.14) | 42.92% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 56.13% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% ( -0.91) | 47.28% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.49% ( -0.85) | 69.5% ( 0.84) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( -0.99) | 28.03% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.31% ( -1.28) | 63.68% ( 1.27) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( -0.05) | 22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.69% ( -0.07) | 55.3% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.93% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.92% |
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