SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Oulu |
40.46% ( 0.12) | 24.85% ( -0.03) | 34.69% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.01% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.79% ( 0.14) | 45.21% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% ( 0.13) | 67.56% ( -0.13) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( 0.12) | 22.29% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.25% ( 0.18) | 55.75% ( -0.18) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( 0.01) | 25.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.86% ( 0.02) | 60.14% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Oulu |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.69% |
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