SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Oulu |
50.26% ( -0.05) | 24.7% ( 0.08) | 25.04% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( -0.37) | 49.44% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( -0.33) | 71.48% ( 0.33) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( -0.16) | 19.68% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.33% ( -0.27) | 51.67% ( 0.26) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% ( -0.23) | 34.25% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.05% ( -0.24) | 70.95% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.25% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 25.04% |
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