SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Darlington |
45.42% ( -0.23) | 23.6% ( 0.33) | 30.97% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 61.07% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.39% ( -1.66) | 40.61% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% ( -1.73) | 62.99% ( 1.73) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% ( -0.75) | 18.17% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.84% ( -1.29) | 49.15% ( 1.29) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.88) | 25.37% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( -1.22) | 60.16% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Darlington |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.66% Total : 45.42% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.97% |
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