This is a really tough match to call, and both managers would likely accept a point if it were offered ahead of kickoff. There will be a desire from both not to lose this game, which could make it a cagey affair, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Tuesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
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