SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Burton Albion |
61.95% ( 0.08) | 21.74% ( -0.04) | 16.31% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.87% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( 0.07) | 48.04% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( 0.07) | 70.21% ( -0.07) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% ( 0.05) | 14.97% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.61% ( 0.1) | 43.39% ( -0.1) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.47% ( -0.02) | 42.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.11% ( -0.01) | 78.9% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 61.95% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 16.31% |
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