Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.04) 
