Heckingbottom will be confident that his Preston side can build on what was a promising start against Luton last weekend. However, Oxford could prove tough to beat at the Kassam Stadium this season, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Preston North End
37.38% ( -0.09)	27.6% ( 0.06)	35.02% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.98% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.23% (

-0.24)

56.76% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.29% (

-0.2)

77.71% (

0.2)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72% (

-0.17)

29.28% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76% (

-0.21)

65.24% (

0.21)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.26% (

-0.11)

30.74% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33% (

-0.13)

67% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 37.38%

Preston North End 35.01%

Draw 27.6%

Oxford United	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.38%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.6%	0-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.01%