SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
42.38% ( -0.02) | 25.7% ( 0.14) | 31.92% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( -0.62) | 49.69% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( -0.56) | 71.7% ( 0.55) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( -0.28) | 23.3% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.76% ( -0.41) | 57.24% ( 0.41) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( -0.38) | 29.23% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( -0.47) | 65.19% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.38% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.92% |
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