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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
OU

Coventry
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 2-0 Oxford United

There will be a number of changes to both sides from their weekend fixtures, which makes this a difficult game to call, but we are expecting Coventry to secure their spot in the third round of the competition with a routine home success over their fellow Championship outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawOxford United
53.3% (0.751 0.75) 22.36% (-0.212 -0.21) 24.34% (-0.538 -0.54)
Both teams to score 59.85% (0.13399999999999 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.23% (0.45 0.45)39.77% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.88% (0.465 0.46)62.12% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03% (0.411 0.41)14.97% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.6% (0.775 0.77)43.4% (-0.774 -0.77)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.185 -0.19)29.61% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (-0.226 -0.23)65.65% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 53.3%
    Oxford United 24.34%
    Draw 22.35%
Coventry CityDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.045 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.086 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.3%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 24.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Oxford Utd
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Coventry
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Coventry 3-0 Everton
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Oxford Utd
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-2 Palermo
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Southampton
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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