Oxford won both of their home games against Peterborough last season, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to record a narrow win and seal their place in the second round of the EFL Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Peterborough United
31.99% ( -0)	24.79%	43.21%

Both teams to score 57.36% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.3% (

-0)

45.69% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.98% (

-0.01)

68.01% (

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78% (

-0)

27.21% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.37% (

-0.01)

62.63% (

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8% (

-0)

21.19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.92% (

-0)

54.07% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 31.99%

Peterborough United 43.21%

Draw 24.79%

Oxford United	Draw	Peterborough United
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 4.88% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3% Total : 31.99%	1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 9.03% 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.94% 1-3 @ 4.67% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.21%