With stakes growing in the battle for playoff places in League One, Oxford United know that they cannot afford a lot of slip ups. The hosts should edge this match but we expect the visitors to put up a good fight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
0.02) 
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