SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Juarez |
61.93% ( 1.6) | 20.73% ( -0.64) | 17.34% ( -0.96) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.12% ( 1.26) | 41.88% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.71% ( 1.26) | 64.29% ( -1.26) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% ( 0.88) | 12.99% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.49% ( 1.77) | 39.51% ( -1.76) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( -0.35) | 37.58% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.64% ( -0.34) | 74.36% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | Juarez |
| 2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.33% Total : 61.92% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.73% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.3% Total : 17.34% |
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