While New York Red Bulls have been rock-solid in the MLS, they will head into Tuesday's showdown needing maximum points following Saturday's loss against Toronto. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we predict the Red Bulls will bounce back in front of their home supporters and claim a comfortable victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
