SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
46.15% ( -0.96) | 24.88% ( 0.31) | 28.97% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.51% ( -0.94) | 47.49% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.3% ( -0.87) | 69.7% ( 0.87) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.37% ( -0.79) | 20.63% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.81% ( -1.26) | 53.19% ( 1.26) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% ( -0.01) | 30.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.7% ( -0.01) | 66.31% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.97% |
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