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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
50.05% ( -0.34) | 23.5% ( 0.14) | 26.45% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.91% ( -0.46) | 43.09% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.51% ( -0.45) | 65.49% ( 0.45) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.67% ( -0.3) | 17.33% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.3% ( -0.52) | 47.7% ( 0.52) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( -0.09) | 29.74% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.2% ( -0.11) | 65.8% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.89% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 26.45% |
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