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NY
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
MI

NY Red Bulls
2 - 2
Montreal

Carmona (18'), Choiniere (75' og.)
Nealis (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (67', 81' pen.)
Piette (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 14 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Atlanta
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-0 CF Montreal

The Red Bulls' consistency at home has us leaning towards them winning on Wednesday against a Montreal side that appear to be rather intimidated and uneasy outside of Saputo Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 11.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
70.68% (1.857 1.86) 17.72% (-0.823 -0.82) 11.59% (-1.039 -1.04)
Both teams to score 49.41% (-0.464 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (1.109 1.11)40.65% (-1.114 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.96% (1.128 1.13)63.03% (-1.132 -1.13)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (0.77500000000001 0.78)10.28% (-0.779 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.34% (1.742 1.74)33.66% (-1.746 -1.75)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.07% (-1.004 -1)44.92% (1.001 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.12% (-0.817 -0.82)80.87% (0.813 0.81)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 70.68%
    CF Montreal 11.6%
    Draw 17.72%
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
2-0 @ 11.95% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 10.5% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 9.06% (0.42 0.42)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.141 0.14)
4-0 @ 5.16% (0.396 0.4)
4-1 @ 4.13% (0.21 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.35% (0.25 0.25)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 70.68%
1-1 @ 8.41% (-0.393 -0.39)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 17.72%
0-1 @ 3.7% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-2 @ 1.48% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 11.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Colorado 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 14 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 DC United
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Atlanta
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-0 Montreal
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 4-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, June 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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