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Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Jul 31, 2024 at 1am UK
Yankee Stadium
NY

Pachuca
1 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Pachuca win 0-0 on penalties
Rondon (56')
Rodriguez (40'), Deossa (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Manoel (47')
Nealis (14'), Vanzeir (15'), Duncan (40'), Manoel (70')

We said: Pachuca 0-2 New York Red Bulls

While New York Red Bulls have been rock-solid in the MLS, they will head into Tuesday's showdown needing maximum points following Saturday's loss against Toronto. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we predict the Red Bulls will bounce back in front of their home supporters and claim a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
PachucaDrawNew York Red Bulls
50.75%23.72%25.53%
Both teams to score 56.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.18%44.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82%67.17%
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63%48.36%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64%31.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27%67.73%
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 50.76%
    New York Red Bulls 25.53%
    Draw 23.71%
PachucaDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.65%
1-0 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 50.76%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 5.6%
0-0 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 6.46%
0-1 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 25.53%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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