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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Columbus Crew |
44.56% ( -0.09) | 23.99% ( -0.03) | 31.45% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.93% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.78% ( 0.18) | 42.22% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.37% ( 0.18) | 64.63% ( -0.17) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( 0.03) | 19.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.16% ( 0.05) | 50.84% ( -0.05) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( 0.17) | 25.86% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% ( 0.22) | 60.83% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 44.56% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.45% |
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