Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Ascoli
43.28% ( -0.56)	26.98% ( -0.27)	29.74% ( 0.84)

Both teams to score 49.31% (

1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.36% (

1.36)

55.64% (

-1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.2% (

1.1)

76.8% (

-1.1)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

0.34)

25.49% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.67% (

0.45)

60.33% (

-0.45)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.18% (

1.36)

33.82% (

-1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.52% (

1.45)

70.48% (

-1.45)

Score Analysis

Palermo 43.28%

Ascoli 29.74%

Draw 26.98%

Palermo	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.28%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.36% Total : 29.74%