Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
Result | ||
Pisa | Draw | Palermo |
43.61% ( -0) | 26.02% ( 0) | 30.38% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.57% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.41% ( 0) | 51.59% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.62% ( 0) | 73.38% ( 0) |
Pisa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.47% ( 0) | 23.53% ( 0) |