Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Ascoli
35.46% ( -0.5)	27.89% ( -0.03)	36.65% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 48.13% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.16% (

0.1)

57.84% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.44% (

0.08)

78.57% (

-0.08)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69% (

-0.27)

31% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.69% (

-0.31)

67.31% (

0.31)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75% (

0.37)

30.25% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58% (

0.44)

66.42% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Palermo 35.46%

Ascoli 36.65%

Draw 27.89%

Palermo	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.46%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.89%	0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.65%