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Serie B | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo
2 - 3
Ascoli

Brunori (36'), Segre (63')
Crivello (32'), Valente (60')
Valente (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gondo (27', 45+5', 52')
Gondo (45+3'), Donati (76'), Leali (82')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bari 1-1 Palermo
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 1-1 SPAL
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
PalermoDrawAscoli
35.46% (-0.497 -0.5) 27.89% (-0.026 -0.03) 36.65% (0.522 0.52)
Both teams to score 48.13% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.16% (0.097000000000001 0.1)57.84% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.44% (0.076999999999998 0.08)78.57% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-0.265 -0.27)31% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (-0.311 -0.31)67.31% (0.31100000000001 0.31)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75% (0.373 0.37)30.25% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58% (0.444 0.44)66.42% (-0.44399999999999 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Palermo 35.46%
    Ascoli 36.65%
    Draw 27.89%
PalermoDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.38% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 11.21% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.7% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 36.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Palermo
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Last Game: Palermo 2-0 Perugia
Saturday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Last Game: Torino 3-0 Palermo
Saturday, August 6 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Palermo 3-2 Reggiana
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Palermo 2-2 Cittadella
Saturday, May 11 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 1-2 Palermo
Saturday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 1-1 SPAL
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 2-1 Ternana
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 2-3 Ascoli
Sunday, August 7 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Ascoli 0-1 Benevento
Friday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 4-1 Ternana
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 0-1 Ascoli
Saturday, April 30 at 1pm in Serie B


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