SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
58.12% ( 0.05) | 22.98% ( -0.07) | 18.9% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.88% ( 0.35) | 49.11% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% ( 0.32) | 71.18% ( -0.31) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.39% ( 0.14) | 16.61% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.57% ( 0.25) | 46.43% ( -0.25) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% ( 0.24) | 40.05% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.3% ( 0.22) | 76.7% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 58.12% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.97% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 18.9% |
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