Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Angers had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.
0.21) 
-0.27) 
