SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
36.4% ( 0.27) | 25.8% ( -0.01) | 37.8% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% ( 0.07) | 49.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( 0.06) | 71.34% ( -0.06) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( 0.19) | 26.28% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% ( 0.25) | 61.4% ( -0.25) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( -0.11) | 25.49% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( -0.15) | 60.33% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.4% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.8% |
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