SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Partick Thistle |
44.3% ( 0.29) | 25% ( -0.02) | 30.7% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( -0.03) | 47.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( -0.03) | 69.37% ( 0.02) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( 0.12) | 21.3% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( 0.18) | 54.24% ( -0.19) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( -0.19) | 28.77% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.38% ( -0.24) | 64.62% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.7% |
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