SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
55.4% ( 0.92) | 22.49% ( -0.01) | 22.1% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.13% ( -1.03) | 42.87% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.73% ( -1.03) | 65.27% ( 1.02) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( -0.06) | 15.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.87% ( -0.1) | 44.12% ( 0.09) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( -1.39) | 33.23% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.16% ( -1.56) | 69.84% ( 1.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.32% Total : 22.1% |
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