Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Miramar Misiones has a probability of 28.9% and a draw has a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win is 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.76%).

Result
Penarol	Draw	Miramar Misiones
44.09% ( -0.11)	27% ( -0.13)	28.9% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 48.82% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.94% (

0.6)

56.06% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86% (

0.48)

77.14% (

-0.49)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.73% (

0.21)

25.27% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.97% (

0.3)

60.02% (

-0.3)

Miramar Misiones Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.33% (

0.5)

34.67% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.6% (

0.53)

71.39% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Penarol 44.09%

Miramar Misiones 28.9%

Draw 27%

Penarol	Draw	Miramar Misiones
1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.09%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.9%