SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Southport |
39.39% ( -1.42) | 27.49% ( 0.09) | 33.12% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.4% ( -0.05) | 56.6% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.43% ( -0.04) | 77.57% ( 0.04) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( -0.82) | 28.03% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% ( -1.05) | 63.68% ( 1.05) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% ( 0.89) | 31.91% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.64% ( 1.01) | 68.36% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.11% |
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