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National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
2 - 1
Gloucester City

Holmes (46'), Flowers (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (54')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 2-3 Southport
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-2 Chorley
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.

Result
SouthportDrawGloucester City
41.93% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 26.13% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.94% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 52.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69%24.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.31%58.69% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.11% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (0.0049999999999955 0)66.26% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Southport 41.93%
    Gloucester City 31.94%
    Draw 26.12%
SouthportDrawGloucester City
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 2-3 Southport
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-0 Tamworth
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 1-4 Southport
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 3-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Southport
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-2 Chorley
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-2 Chorley
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-1 Gloucester City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-0 Buxton
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 Gloucester City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-0 Rushall Olympic
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League North


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