SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
29.4% ( 0.74) | 25.5% ( 0.05) | 45.1% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.11% ( 0.19) | 49.89% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.12% ( 0.17) | 71.88% ( -0.18) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( 0.65) | 31.08% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( 0.75) | 67.4% ( -0.75) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( -0.28) | 22.09% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( -0.42) | 55.45% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.4% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.1% |
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