SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Peterborough Sports win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
56.53% ( 0.07) | 23.9% ( -0.01) | 19.56% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.06% ( -0.06) | 51.93% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.32% ( -0.05) | 73.68% ( 0.05) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% ( 0) | 18.2% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.78% ( 0) | 49.21% ( -0.01) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.04% ( -0.11) | 40.95% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.48% ( -0.09) | 77.51% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 56.52% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.56% |
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